Chinese language autonomous driving firm WeRide listed on the Nasdaq on Friday, Oct. 25, 2024.
China Information Service | China Information Service | Getty Photos
BEIJING — Chinese language IPOs within the U.S. and Hong Kong are set to extend subsequent yr, analysts stated, as some high-profile listings exterior the mainland this yr increase investor optimism over worthwhile exits.
Chinese language autonomous driving firm WeRide listed on the Nasdaq Friday with shares rising practically 6.8%. Earlier this month, Chinese language robotaxi operator Pony.ai additionally filed paperwork to record on the Nasdaq. Each firms have lengthy aimed to go public.
Few massive China-based firms have listed in New York because the Didi IPO in the summertime of 2021 elevated scrutiny by U.S. and Chinese language regulators on such listings. The Chinese language ride-hailing firm was compelled to quickly droop new person registrations, and received delisted in lower than a yr.
U.S. and Chinese language authorities have since clarified the method for a China-based firm to go public in New York. However geopolitics and market adjustments have considerably decreased U.S. IPOs of Chinese language companies.
“After a few gradual years, we typically anticipate the IPO market to revive in 2025, bolstered by rate of interest decreases and (to some extent) the conclusion of the U.S. presidential election,” Marcia Ellis, Hong Kong-based world co-chair of personal fairness follow, Morrison Foerster, stated in an e-mail.
“Whereas there’s a market notion of regulatory points between the U.S. and China as being problematic, most of the points driving this notion have been solved,” she stated.
“Chinese language firms have gotten more and more inquisitive about getting listed in Hong Kong or New York, resulting from issue in getting listed in Mainland China and stress from shareholders to shortly obtain an exit.”
This yr, as many as 42 firms have gone public on the Hong Kong Inventory Alternate, and there have been 96 IPO functions pending itemizing or beneath processing as of Sept. 30, in response to the alternate’s web site.
Final week, Horizon Robotics — a Chinese language synthetic intelligence and auto chip developer — and state-owned bottled water firm CR Beverage went public in Hong Kong.
The 2 have been the alternate’s largest IPOs of the yr, excluding listings of firms that additionally commerce within the mainland, in response to Renaissance Capital, which tracks world IPOs. The agency famous that Chinese language supply big SF Categorical is planning for a Hong Kong IPO subsequent month, whereas Chinese language automaker Chery goals for one subsequent yr.
Nonetheless, the general tempo of Hong Kong IPOs this yr is barely slower than anticipated, George Chan, world IPO chief at EY, informed CNBC in an interview earlier this month.
He stated the fourth quarter is usually not an excellent interval for listings and expects most firms to attend till a minimum of February. In his conversations with early stage traders, “they’re very optimistic about subsequent yr” and are making ready firms for IPOs, Chan stated.
The deliberate listings are typically life sciences, tech or client firms, he stated.
Hong Kong, then New York
Investor sentiment on Chinese language shares has improved over the previous few weeks because of high-level stimulus bulletins. Decrease rates of interest additionally make shares extra enticing than bonds. The Hold Seng Index has surged over 20% up to now this yr after 4 straight years of declines.
Many Chinese language firms that record in Hong Kong additionally see it as a approach to check traders’ urge for food for an IPO abroad, stated Reuben Lai, vice chairman, non-public capital, Better China at Preqin.
“Geopolitical tensions make Hong Kong a most well-liked market,” Ellis stated, “however the depth and breadth of US capital markets nonetheless make many firms significantly take into account New York, particularly for these that concentrate on superior know-how and will not be but worthwhile, who typically imagine that their fairness tales shall be higher obtained by U.S. traders.”
Simply over half of IPOs on U.S. exchanges since 2023 have come from foreign-based firms, a 20-year excessive, in response to EY.
Geely-backed Chinese language electrical automobile firm Zeekr and Chinese language-owned Amer Sports activities each listed within the U.S. earlier this yr, in response to EY’s record of main cross-border IPOs.
Chinese language electrical truck producer Windrose stated it intends to record within the U.S. within the first half of 2025, with a twin itemizing in Europe later that yr. The corporate, which goals to ship 10,000 vans by 2027, on Sunday introduced it moved its world headquarters to Belgium.
A restoration in Chinese language IPOs within the U.S. and Hong Kong might help funds money out on their early stage investments in startups. The shortage of IPOs had decreased the motivation for funds to again startups.
Now, traders are China once more, after not too long ago deploying capital to India and the Center East, Preqin’s Lai stated. “I am undoubtedly seeing a larger potential from now in China whether or not it is cash coming again, valuation of the businesses, exit surroundings [or] efficiency of the funds.”
Whereas the pickup in investor exercise is way from ranges seen within the final two years, the nascent restoration consists of some investments in client merchandise reminiscent of milk tea and supermarkets, Lai stated.
