Synthetic intelligence (AI) was probably the most raised challenge prior to now 12 months amongst asset supervisor respondents to the annual Index Trade Affiliation (IIA) member survey. Sustainable investing, thematic investing, and customised funding, respectively, ranked as prime of thoughts after AI amongst survey respondents.
Total, the outcomes illustrate that the asset administration trade in Europe and America is in transition, dealing with mounting ranges of complexity and a necessity for brand spanking new partnerships, new and extra specialised data sources, new expertise, and stronger ecosystems and alliances.
Background
4 years in the past, IIA started publishing a survey in partnership with our member corporations and fielded with the help of Opinium Analysis. Annually, we have interaction with 300 chief funding officers, portfolio managers, and chief monetary officers throughout a variety of funding suppliers in the USA and Europe to gauge how asset managers view progress towards present challenges and alternatives, and the important thing elements shaping the longer-term evolution of the trade.
After we began this endeavor in 2020, the aim was to ensure index suppliers understood the longer term wants of asset managers when it comes to environmental, social, and governance (ESG)- and sustainable-related indexes.
Based mostly on our learnings over the past three years and suggestions from our IIA members, we determined to broaden the 2024 survey past ESG- and sustainable-related questions. ESG and sustainable investing after all stay central and materials to international buyers, however we wished to be sure that our aperture was broad sufficient to seize the total pallet of drivers and developments impacting our shoppers. I’m so glad we took this method as our findings revealed a a lot deeper set of challenges, alternatives, hopes, and issues. What is obvious from this yr’s outcomes is that trade is dealing with rising complexities.
What Elements Will Have Biggest Affect on Funding Efficiency?
We requested which elements over the subsequent 12 months would have the best influence on funding efficiency. Over the subsequent yr, asset managers are extra keenly targeted on macroeconomic points like rates of interest, inflation, and a possible financial slowdown than they’re elections and geopolitical occasions. Notably, 81% of US respondents prioritized rates of interest and inflation as a very powerful points.
We requested managers what developments they’ve been occupied with probably the most over the past 12 months. I used to be stunned by the substantial variety of respondents who ranked AI as their most raised challenge, overtaking sustainable investing. Different technological points like tokenization and blockchain had been solely raised by roughly 10% of managers. Managers targeted on thematic funding and customised merchandise after sustainable investing. Solely about 25% recognized crypto merchandise as a subject they’re discussing with their colleagues — about the identical share as these occupied with tips on how to deliver non-public markets into their corporations’ choices.
Generative AI: A Recreation Changer
One huge dividend from our choice to develop the vary of subjects on this yr’s survey is the insights we gained round AI, and what it means within the eyes of asset managers.
ESG Exuberance Tempers
We revisited ESG and sustainable investing on this yr’s survey to see if the torrid tempo of progress cited in prior years was persevering with. What we discovered is that whereas ESG continues to be an important a part of international asset managers’ technique, the excessive expectations for future progress we noticed in prior years of the survey have tempered.
When seen over the four-year arc of the survey, survey respondent expectations for ESG portfolio implementation have come again to earth after the spike we noticed in 2022 and 2023, touchdown again down close to 2021 ranges. For us, this means not that ESG goes away, however relatively that it’s settling right into a extra sensible long-term progress curve. As soon as once more, environmental elements (the “E” in ESG) proceed to be most on the radar of buyers in terms of sustainability.
Personal Markets: A Puzzle to Resolve
Personal markets proceed to be an space of alternative for international asset managers but additionally an space of problem, in line with our survey. Whereas asset managers just like the idea of personal markets for funding alternative and diversification, they cited a number of challenges in terms of implementation.
Issue integrating non-public fairness into their funding lineup, liquidity issues, and information gaps had been cited as top-of-mind points. This isn’t shocking given the traditionally gradual tempo of the event of worldwide indexes which seize non-public fairness market information and efficiency.
Index Suppliers in Demand
Whereas our survey identified a number of classes that symbolize vital challenges for our shoppers, it was encouraging to see that asset managers’ prime 4 areas to associate with index suppliers are for sustainable investing, direct indexing, thematic investing, and customised funding options. The survey reveals that greater than half of respondents consider that index suppliers and the providers we provide will turn into extra vital to their success within the subsequent 12 months. Importantly, about 20% anticipate to make use of extra index suppliers within the subsequent 12 months.
It is a very high-level snapshot of our survey findings. I invite you to take a deeper dive into this yr’s outcomes. I welcome your suggestions and ideas for future analysis.